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PostPosted: 26 Apr 07, 9:19 
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The Japanese Woman Who Mistook Her Sheep For a Poodle:

26th Apr


It’s common enough problem among Japan’s well-heeled. You buy the poodle over the internet. You take the poode home. The poodle refuses to bark or eat dog food.

And then the poodle thinks it’s a sheep. It begins to baa like a sheep. Its fur starts to resemble wool. When you wear that merino sweater, it follows you around.

Maiko Kawakami, a Japanese movie star, has such a pet. She went on TV and complained about it. She produced photos of the animal. And she was told that her poodle was a sheep. A sheep dog? No. A sheep.

Kawakami’s shock discovery triggered hundreds of other Japanese women to contact the police. They had been duped. They too had bought a wolly poodle from Poodles As Pets.

These imported British and Australian poodles would make ideal pets. And for £630 a head – less than half the usual price – the poodles were a bargain.

Says a spokesman for the Japanese police: “Sadly, we think there is more than one company operating this way.”

So if you have a poodle that refuses to roll over, beg and guard the family business with the required level of menace, a minature golden whale that won’t playfully spray you with its water spout or a rare underground pink snake, do not depair.

You are not alone. You are just one of the herd…

Spotter: The Sun

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PostPosted: 26 Apr 07, 14:02 
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The world's youngest political prisoner

At the age of five, Gedhun Choekyi Niyama was abducted by the Chinese from his remote Tibetan village and has not been seen since. His crime? He was identified by the Dalai Lama as the reincarnation of one of the most important figures in Tibetan Buddhism. As he reaches adulthood,

Yesterday, somewhere in China, a boy became a man. Exactly where, only the Chinese authorities can say, and they are not telling. What he looks like now we have an idea but only an idea: the only photograph of him, reproduced here, was taken when he was still a young child, around the time the Dalai Lama announced he was the reincarnated Panchen Lama.

That was 12 years ago, in 1995, and for five-year-old Gedhun Choekyi Nyima, son of the headman of a village in central Tibet, the announcement meant the end of a normal childhood. He and his parents were seized by Chinese security forces and taken to a secure and secret location. None of the three has been seen in public since. They are believed to be somewhere in the Beijing area. The government recently denied they are in custody and insisted Gedhun leads a normal life. But it is the life of a shadow, a ghost, a man whose destiny, China decrees, can never be fulfilled, for the safety and stability of the Chinese state.

Gedhun, who turned 18 yesterday, menaces China because, as the attested reincarnation of the second most important Buddhist teacher in Tibet, he could become as important as the Dalai Lama is now and has been for the past 30-odd years as a symbol of Tibet's culture, its traditions, piety and identity: a figure around whom all those who yearn for Tibet's independence, and struggle for its cultural survival, can gather and focus their hopes and efforts; a lightning rod for Tibetan nationalism.

The Dalai Lama made his announcement and the Panchen Lama vanished. It was as if he had never existed. In his place the Chinese found another lad, and quisling monks loyal to Beijing declared that this was the true Panchen Lama, this and none other. About Gedhun's age, he was a child, conveniently, of Communist Party members. Gyaltsen Norbu was his name.

They installed Gyaltsen Norbu in a heavily guarded villa near Beijing. And now that he, too, is approaching manhood, the Chinese roll him out from time to time to test the waters. When he was nearly 12 he made his first visit to Tibet, to the monastery of Tashilhunpo that is the traditional seat of the Panchen Lama, in the town of Shigatse. Security was heavy; evidence of popular devotion was absent. A year ago he made his debut before an international audience, speaking at the World Buddhist Forum, a government-sponsored jamboree devoted to the theme, "a harmonious world begins in the heart" (and from which the Dalai Lama was absent). The authorities describe the lad as "Buddhism's most senior leader".

"Defending the nation and working for the people is a solemn commitment Buddhism has made to the nation and society," this child of the Party told the gathering.

The abduction of Gedhun and his substitution by Gyaltsen was the way the Chinese authorities sought to hijack the Tibetan Buddhist church once and for all, to set it running on Communist Party rails and to a Communist Party timetable.

The plan is simple. In the Tibetan system the Dalai Lama is the sun, the Panchen Lama the moon. The Dalai Lama is 71. His health is good but he cannot live forever. Once he goes, the most senior figure will be the Panchen Lama, whose duty then will be to identify the next Dalai Lama. That's the way it has worked for at least three centuries, a sort of holy leapfrog down the ages. A puppet Panchen Lama will name a puppet Dalai Lama and, just as the current Dalai Lama has been the incarnation of Tibet's aspirations for an independent or at least autonomous future, by putting his reincarnation in their pocket the Chinese will kill off the Tibetan independence movement for good. They hope.

Gedhun Choekyi Nyima thus became the world's youngest political prisoner for a powerful political reason, one which has only gained in significance as the Dalai Lama's profile and popularity have continued to rise. "China's detention of the Panchen Lama," says Matt Whitticase of the Free Tibet Campaign, "represents a crime not only against a child but against the entire Tibetan people who regard the ongoing detention of one of their most important religious leaders as a source of great distress. It is a clear demonstration of the lengths to which China is prepared to go to control, and ultimately crush, both Tibetan Buddhism and Tibetan identity."

Tibet enthusiasts often conjure up a picture of this remote country before the Chinese invasion of 1959 as a Shangri-la. It was a "land of lost content" where happy farmers were governed bybodhisattvas [leaders motivated by compassion], far above the vicious politics of less fortunate parts of Asia.

It's a fanciful image with little basis in fact. Tibet was as bedevilled by poverty, filth, illiteracy and disease as any other benighted corner of the world. The mass of the people were serfs, tied by lifelong obligation either to the great monasteries or to the lay aristocracy. Education and learning was limited to the monasteries - which, as in other Buddhist societies such as Burma and Sri Lanka - provided the only means of social mobility. Many high lamas emerged from ordinary families, chosen like the Panchen Lama by a combination of divination, dreams and astrology.

Buddhism preaches non-violence and transcending the illusionary ego, but Tibet's Buddhist schools were no more adept at avoiding power struggles than those of any other religion. The four traditional groups were frequently at loggerheads; the Yellow Hat sect, to which the Dalai Lama belongs, came to power when the Mongol army helped the fifth Dalai Lama to defeat the rival Red Hat sect. Bringing harmony to the four has been one of the present Dalai Lama's great achievements.

Nor was independence as clear cut as the Tibetans' more emotional supporters in the West like to imagine. China's rulers in the 20th century - both the republicans of the first half and the Communists of the second - consistently claimed sovereignty over Tibet. What varied was the clout of the Chinese in imposing what they claimed as their right. During the Republic, for example, when the Chinese state was very weak, Tibet achieved the de facto independence which most Tibetans now aspire to. But it was a function of Chinese weakness, not Tibetan assertiveness, as is proved by the failure of Tibet to seek a seat in either the League of Nations or the United Nations when it had the chance.

So the Tibet that the People's Liberation Army overran in 1959 was no Shangri-la and, had the Communists entered the country in a different spirit, it's possible to imagine a different result. The Dalai Lama, for example, applied to join the Communist Party; the 10th Panchen Lama welcomed the Chinese army.

The intensity of Tibetan longing for the old dispensation is a measure of the disaster wrought on the country by the waves of communist invasion. The successive fiascos orchestrated by Mao Zedong - the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution - struck Tibet more harshly than the Han Chinese heartland, accompanied by wanton destruction of monasteries and cultural treasures, and the pent-up fury and arrogance of outsiders convinced of their racial and cultural superiority. The promised benefits of revolution, such as health care and economic development, arrived at a snail's pace, and often to the benefit of settlers from the lowlands. Meanwhile, Tibetans saw everything in which their identity resided being systematically crushed.

And this is not a process that finished with the end of Mao and the Gang of Four; in different ways with different tactics the policy of colonisation and cultural homogenisation still continues. In 2002, for the first time, the Chinese agreed to open talks with the Dalai Lama - whose declaration that he wants the autonomy of Tibet rather than its independence goes back many years. So far, five secret sessions have been held - but no sign has emerged that they are going anywhere; many suspect they are no more than window-dressing in advance of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, designed to defuse protest and persuade critical foreign states that China is on a conciliatory track.

The actions of the government send a different message. According to a report released yesterday by the International Campaign for Tibet (ICT), the campaign of repression continues in many fields. New restrictions have been placed on religious practice in the Tibetan Autonomous Region; religious institutions are being used more and more to inculcate patriotic spirit; the Communist Party is seeking to tighten further its grip on Buddhist organisations; the government continues to do all it can to suppress support for the Dalai Lama within China; and the monastic education system, which is the only means by which the Tibetan language and the noble and elaborate legacy of Buddhist studies in Tibet is preserved, is under renewed attack.

Above all, and symbolising the entire campaign, is the Chinese abduction of the Panchen Lama and the exploitation of a puppet substitute to say what the Chinese authorities want to be said. With only a year to go to the Olympics, China's big coming-out parade, the picture remains exceedingly bleak.

Elsewhere, meanwhile, the Dalai Lama's profile has never been higher. His adamant refusal to countenance violence in pursuit of his political ends has earned him the opposition and suppressed hostility of some factions in the Tibetan diaspora - but has helped to keep him enormously popular. He was cited in a recent poll in Germany as by far the most respected religious figure in the world. He has brought the formerly feuding sects of Tibetan Buddhism into harmony, and the extraordinary religion over which he presides has never in history been so successful, thanks to him, in getting its message out. Later this year, to the fury of the Chinese, he is to be presented in Washington with the Congressional Medal.

And, somewhere in China, waits a young man who is the symbol of a terrible impasse.

Lamas and lineage


* For more than 500 years the leader of Tibetan Buddhism, known as the Dalai Lama, and his deputy, the Panchen Lama, have been selected through a strict procedure whereby both lamas pick each other's successor. The Dalai Lama chooses who will be the next Panchen Lama who in turn will pick the next Dalai Lama. Tibetans believe Lamas do this via wisdom and divine enlightenment.

* Tibetans believe the Dalai Lama and Panchen Lama are incarnations of the bodhisattva, the name Buddha gave to himself before he attained enlightenment. Both figures are held in the highest regard by all four schools of Tibetan Buddhism.

* Today's Dalai Lama, Tenzin Gyatso, is the fourteenth in line. He has spent much of his life in exile in the Indian hill town of Dharamsala after China invaded Tibet in 1950.

* The Panchen Lama, as chosen by Tenzin Gyatso, Gedhun Choekyi Nyima, is the eleventh in line. He is thought to be under virtual house arrest by the Chinese government near Beijing.
independent


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PostPosted: 26 Apr 07, 14:14 
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Russia in defence warning to US


The speech is Mr Putin's last before he steps down next year
Russia may stop implementing a key defence treaty because of concerns over US plans for a missile shield in Europe, President Vladimir Putin said.

Mr Putin made the threat during his annual address to parliament - which he said would be his last as president.

He also hit out at an influx of foreign money which he said was being used to meddle in Russia's internal affairs.

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice dismissed Russian concerns over the missile shield as "ludicrous".

But BBC diplomatic correspondent Jonathan Marcus says Mr Putin's speech marks a significant upping of diplomatic stakes.

The Russian president accused Nato countries of failing to respect the 1990 Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty (CFE), which limits military deployments across the continent.


Our partners... are using the present situation to boost the presence of military bases and systems close to our borders



The treaty was adapted in 1999 after the collapse of the Warsaw Pact, but Nato states have not yet ratified the new version, linking it to the withdrawal of Russian forces from Georgia and Moldova.

Mr Putin accused Nato states of exploiting the situation to increase their military presence near Russia.

He said that the Russian moratorium would continue "until all countries of the world have ratified and started to strictly implement it".

If there was no progress at upcoming talks between Nato and Russia, Russia would "look at the possibility of ceasing our commitments under the CFE treaty", he said.

The US wants to station 10 interceptor missiles in Poland, with radar operations in the Czech Republic - which Russia strongly opposes.

"The Russians have thousands of warheads. The idea that you can somehow stop the Russian strategic nuclear deterrent with a few interceptors just doesn't make sense," said the US secretary of state in Oslo, ahead of a Nato-Russia meeting.

'Meddlers'

Mr Putin also hit out at those who he said were using democracy as a pretext to interfere in politics.

"There is a growing influx of foreign cash used to directly meddle in our domestic affairs," Mr Putin said.

"Not everyone likes the stable, gradual rise of our country," he said. "There are some who are using the democratic ideology to interfere in our internal affairs."

He did not specify those responsible, but in the past Russian authorities have accused the West of funding groups that oppose the government.

He also called for a moment of silence to commemorate former President Boris Yeltsin, who he said had laid the foundations for a changed Russia. He called for a library to be established in Mr Yeltsin's name.

Other highlights included:

* praise for Russia's economy, which he said was now one of the 10th largest in the world

* a funding boost for state housing, using some of the proceeds from the auction of bankrupt oil giant Yukos

Mr Putin's speech was delayed by a day because of Mr Yeltsin's state funeral.

He reiterated his pledge to step down in March 2008, after serving two terms as president.


BBC


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PostPosted: 26 Apr 07, 14:15 
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US House votes for Iraq deadline


The bill would require US troops to start leaving Iraq in October
The US House of Representatives has narrowly approved a bill making further funding of the war in Iraq conditional on a timetable for a US troop pullout.

The bill provides $100bn in new war funds, if troops start leaving in October, with the withdrawal planned to be complete by March 2008.

President Bush has repeatedly threatened to veto the bill.

The commander of US forces in Iraq, General David Petraeus, had met lawmakers to argue against the bill.

Republicans and Democrats have been in deadlock on the legislation for weeks, and it finally passed by 218 votes to 208.

The $124bn bill would pay for military spending in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Senate is due to vote on the bill later on Thursday.

"Tonight, the House of Representatives voted for failure in Iraq - and the president will veto its bill," said White House spokeswoman Dana Perino.

Although the Democrats control both houses of Congress, they do not have enough votes to overrule a presidential veto.

If President Bush does veto the bill, temporary measures are expected to be tabled to provide funding until the summer.

Military appeal

Before Wednesday evening's debate, Gen Petraeus was trying to gain support for Mr Bush's plan to increase troop numbers in Iraq, the so-called "surge", to improve stability.


"General Petraeus continued to say that he can give a comprehensive assessment as to whether or not the surge is in fact working around September," said Democratic Representative James Clyburn.

Not all the new extra US forces planned for deployment are yet in place in Iraq.

The Iraqi foreign minister also criticised the Democrats' bill.

Speaking to the BBC while on a visit to Iran, Hoshyar Zebari said efforts by Congress to set a date of October for troops to start leaving Iraq would not help his country's security or political development.

Dr Zebari said he was amazed people had started talking of a timetable when the UN resolution giving the US-led coalition its mandate would be reviewed in June, and then again at the end of the year.

The minister also stressed withdrawal of US troops would have to wait for the Iraqi military to be self-reliant.

Dr Zebari is in Tehran to press the Iranian government to take part in a key regional summit next week in Egypt on the future security of Iraq.

'Surrender date'


Al-Qaeda will view this as the day the House of Representatives threw in the towel


"The sacrifices borne by our troops and their families demand more than the blank cheques the president is asking for, for a war without end," said the leader of House Democrats, Nancy Pelosi.

She urged the president to sign the bill, so that "we can focus on winning the war against terrorism, which is the real threat to the American people".

But Republicans have vowed to back the president's refusal to support what they call a "surrender date".

"Al-Qaeda will view this as the day the House of Representatives threw in the towel," said Republican Jerry Lewis.

Mr Bush shows no signs of budging from his determination to veto any bill tying war spending to a timetable for troop withdrawal.

The legislation was an attempt to "handcuff our generals, add billions of dollars of unrelated spending and begin to pull out of Iraq by an arbitrary date", he said on Tuesday.

"To accept the bill proposed by the Democratic leadership would be to accept a policy that directly contradicts the judgement of our military commanders."

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PostPosted: 26 Apr 07, 16:16 
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Wow at the story about the world's youngest political prisoner. Really interesting. I had no idea.....


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PostPosted: 27 Apr 07, 9:51 
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Thousands flee as shelling by Ethiopian tanks kills hundreds of civilians in Somali capital



· PM claims Islamists are routed, but attacks go on
· UN accuses all sides of committing war crimes

Chris McGreal, Africa correspondent
Friday April 27, 2007


The Somali capital Mogadishu suffered some of the heaviest bombardment in nine days of fighting yesterday, as Ethiopian tanks supporting the interim government shelled new areas of the city despite a claim by the Somali prime minister to have routed Islamist insurgents.

The Ethiopian assault has killed several hundred people, many of them civilians harmed by indiscriminate shelling that has destroyed homes and shops, and forced tens of thousands to flee the city as it spread to previously relatively peaceful parts of Mogadishu. Corpses lie scattered on the streets because it is too dangerous to collect them.


More than 1,000 people were killed in an earlier round of fighting last month. More than a third of the civilian population - some 340,000 people - have fled in the past three months.

The UN humanitarian affairs chief, Sir John Holmes, yesterday accused all those involved of war crimes.

"The rules of humanitarian law are being flouted by all sides ... all factions are equally guilty of indiscriminate violence in a civilian area," he said. "Civilians in Mogadishu are paying an intolerable price for the absence of political progress and dialogue and the failure of all parties to abide by the rules of warfare."

Refugees are camped on the outskirts of the city, with water, food and medicine growing scarcer. About 600 have died of cholera and other diseases.

"At least half the capital is deserted, slowly turning it into a ghost city," the UN refugee agency said.

The interim Somali government said the 20,000-strong Ethiopian force fighting on its behalf, with 5,000 Somali troops playing a lesser role, will keep up the offensive until fighters with the Council of Islamic Courts are defeated. The council ruled Mogadishu and much of southern Somalia for six months last year until overthrown by the Ethiopian army with US backing.

Somalia's prime minister, Ali Mohamed Gedi, yesterday claimed to have defeated the Islamist forces. "We have won the fighting against the insurgents," he told Associated Press. "Most of the fighting in Mogadishu is now over. The government has captured a lot of territory where the insurgents were."

But critics say Somalia has become a battleground for Ethiopia's foreign agenda and Washington's "war on terror" that will do little to bring long term stability.

The Islamic Courts government was popular in Mogadishu after bringing relative order and driving out clan warlords responsible for 16 years of death and mayhem. But the US believed it looked too much like the Taliban, with its ban on music and dancing and the qat narcotic, and that it was sympathetic to al-Qaida.

Washington encouraged the Ethiopian military - at the "invitation" of Somalia's interim national government which was so unpopular it was unable to remain in Mogadishu - to invade and oust the Islamic Courts administration. The new Somali government includes some of the warlords who previously caused so much destruction.

A report by the Royal Institute of International Affairs said that US and Ethiopian strategic interests in supporting a weak and factionalised government that is far less popular than the Islamic Courts administration are an obstacle, not a contribution, to rebuilding Somalia.

"In an uncomfortably familiar pattern, genuine multilateral concern to support the reconstruction and rehabilitation of Somalia has been hijacked by unilateral actors - especially Ethiopia and the United States," it said.

As always in Somalia, the conflict is also being driven by money through weapons smuggling and business interests.

Ethiopian forces were to have been replaced by African Union peacekeepers, but only 1,200 of the AU's promised 8,000 troops have arrived in Somalia.


guardian


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PostPosted: 27 Apr 07, 9:53 
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Blow to Bush as top US commander warns of worse to come in Iraq


· Democrat resolve stiffened in battle over funding
· Senate backs plans for early troop withdrawal

Ewen MacAskill in Washington
Friday April 27, 2007
The Guardian

The top US commander in Iraq admitted yesterday that the conflict would "get harder before it gets easier", providing further ammunition for Democrats determined to face down George Bush in their constitutional clash over the Iraq war.

Hours before the Senate passed legislation ordering troops to start leaving Iraq by October, General David Petraeus said the conflict was "the most complex and challenging I have ever seen". Gen Petraeus, who was put in charge of the Baghdad troop "surge" to pacify the Iraqi capital, warned of the enormous commitment and sacrifice facing the US in Iraq.

His downbeat assessment, in contrast with Mr Bush's optimistic statements, stiffened the resolve of Democrats in Congress pushing for an early withdrawal of US troops. Yesterday the Senate followed the House of Representatives in backing legislation that calls for most US troops to be out by spring 2008.

The bill is expected to land on Mr Bush's table on Tuesday, the fourth anniversary of the speech in which he prematurely declared an end to hostilities. Under the legislation billions of dollars of military funding will be withheld unless Mr Bush sets in motion the withdrawal timetable.

The White House, which has described the bill as a timetable for surrender, reiterated yesterday that Mr Bush would veto it. As the Democrats do not have the two-thirds majority needed to overturn the veto, a stand-off is inevitable.

Democratic members of Congress claim the "surge" is doomed to failure, a scepticism shared by some Republicans.

Gen Petraeus returned to Washington this week to brief the president and members of Congress. Although he agreed with Mr Bush that there had been some improvements in the two months since the arrival of US reinforcements, he also stressed that the achievements "have not come without sacrifice". He noted the increasing use of car bombs and suicide attacks has "led to greater US losses" and Iraqi military casualties. Suicide bombers claimed the lives of nine US paratroopers this week, while last week witnessed the deadliest single suicide bombing in Baghdad, when 140 died in a market attack.

Asked how long the US would have to remain in Iraq, he said he could not anticipate what the level "might be some years down the road".

Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic House speaker, said: "The sacrifices borne by our troops and their families demand more than the blank cheques the president is asking for, for a war without end."

In reality, the Democrats will not choke off funds to US troops in the field. But they will try to force Mr Bush to compromise. One route being discussed by Democrats would be to set benchmarks for the Iraqi government to tackle sectarian violence; failure to act fast enough would trigger withdrawal. One step the Democrats are insisting upon would be for the Shia-led Iraqi government to agree a fair formula for sharing oil revenues with other groups. guardian


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Not in society's interests to have more gay people, says Polish PM


Agencies in Warsaw
Friday April 27, 2007


Poland's prime minister, Jaroslaw Kaczynski, rejected EU criticism of a ban on "homosexual propaganda" in schools yesterday, saying that it was not in society's interests to increase the number of gay people.

Mr Kaczynski dismissed suggestions that homosexual people faced discrimination in Poland, in a blunt response to an EU parliament vote earlier in the day in which MEPs called for a fact-finding mission to the country to investigate recent anti-gay comments by senior officials.


"Nobody is limiting gay rights in Poland," said Mr Kaczynski, leader of the Law and Justice party, which stresses Roman Catholic Values and governs with the small League of Polish Families, which is militantly anti-abortion and anti-gay rights.

"However, if we're talking about not having homosexual propaganda in Polish schools, I fully agree with those who feel this way. Such propaganda should not be in schools; it definitely doesn't serve youth well. It's not in the interests of any society to increase the number of homosexuals, that's obvious."

In Strasbourg the European parliament issued a resolution calling for more robust action from Polish leaders. "The European parliament ... calls on the ... Polish authorities publicly to condemn and take measures against declarations by public leaders inciting discrimination and hatred based on sexual orientation," said the resolution, which was sponsored by socialists, liberals and greens but largely opposed by conservatives.

Last month Poland's deputy education minister, Miroslaw Orzechowski, said that teachers deemed to be promoting "homosexual culture" in Polish schools would be fired, and the government has drafted corresponding legislation.

This year the education minister, Roman Giertych, the leader of the League of Polish Families, said "one must limit homosexual propaganda so that children won't have an improper view of family".

Mr Kaczynski had previously distanced himself from the comments. His twin brother, President Lech Kaczynski, has drawn criticism from human rights groups after he banned a gay parade when he was mayor of Warsaw.

guardian


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PostPosted: 27 Apr 07, 20:27 
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Fox News Sinks To New Low, Repeatedly Reports Parody Story As Actual News thinkprogress.org


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The White House Scales Back Talk of Iraq Progress nytimes


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A Saudi Prince Tied to Bush Is Sounding Off-Key nytimes


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One million Turks rally against government reuters


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Sunday, April 29, 2007

Iran bans 'Western' haircuts

Iranian police have warned barbers against offering Western-style hair cuts, applying make-up or plucking the eyebrows of their male customers, a newspaper reported.

The frontpage report of the reformist Etemad daily appeared to be another sign of the authorities cracking down on clothing and other fashion deemed to be against Islamic values.

"Western hair styles ... have been banned," Etemad said.

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Tenet: Iraq War "Like A Slow-Motion Car Crash"
"No Consensus Was Ever Reached, And No Clear Plan Ever Devised.....Tells "60 Minutes" He Warned Rice To Hit Afghanistan Before 9/11.....Says Plame Outing "Big Time Wrong"

www.huffingtonpost.com


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Inside the struggle for Iran

Simon Tisdall in Tehran - The Guardian

Mohammad Khatami: parties loyal to the former president are uniting with other anti-government forces.

A grand coalition of anti-government forces is planning a second Iranian revolution via the ballot box to deny President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad another term in office and break the grip of what they call the "militia state" on public life and personal freedom.

Encouraged by recent successes in local elections, opposition factions, democracy activists, and pro-reform clerics say they will bring together progressive parties loyal to former president Mohammad Khatami with so-called pragmatic conservatives led by Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani.

The alliance aims to exploit the president's deepening unpopularity, borne of high unemployment, rising inflation and a looming crisis over petrol prices and possible rationing to win control of the Majlis in general elections which are due within 10 months.

Parliament last week voted to curtail Mr Ahmadinejad's term by holding presidential and parliamentary elections simultaneously next year.

Though the move is likely to be vetoed by the hardline Guardian Council, it served notice of mounting disaffection in parliament.

But opposition spokesmen say their broader objective is to bring down the fundamentalist regime by democratic means, transform Iran into a "normal country", and obviate the need for any military or other US and western intervention. Rightwing political and religious forces, divided and dismayed by Mr Ahmadinejad's much-criticised performance, are already mobilising to meet the threat.

The movement amounts to the clearest sign yet within Iran that the country is by no means unified behind a president who has led it into confrontation with the west over the nuclear issue, while presiding over economic decline at home.

"The past two years have been a very bitter time for Iran," said Mohammad Atrianfar, a leading opposition figure with ties to Mr Rafsanjani, the former president now emerging as a likely future kingmaker in Iran.

"Ahmadinejad has done everything upside down - politics, economy, foreign policy - putting all our achievements at risk. He has done a lot of damage at home and abroad."

Mr Atrianfar said that a majority in the Majlis was now critical of the president and would certainly impeach him but for the support he enjoyed from the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

According to Ali Alavi of Siyasat-e Ruz newspaper, some 150 political activists, governors-general, former administration officials and dissident MPs drew up a coalition "victory strategy" at a secretive conference last month presided over by Mr Khatami.

The strategy envisaged "aggravation of the differences among the fundamentalists" and "constant criticism of Ahmadinejad" by "presenting a dark image of the country's affairs," Mr Alavi said.

Opposition sources said that a future reformist-pragmatist government would continue to maintain Iran's claim to nuclear energy and other "national rights" but would seek to settle disputes through talks.

Iran wanted a "normal" relationship with the rest of the world based on mutual respect, the opposition sources said.

In an oblique swipe at Mr Ahmadinejad, Mr Rafsanjani told the weekly Friday prayer meeting in Tehran that the nuclear issue should be settled by negotiations "conducted in a rational atmosphere".

Mr Atrianfar said the economy was the battleground on which Iran's political future would be decided.

The president has faced mounting criticism in recent weeks over high unemployment, especially among younger people, rising inflation and escalating housing costs.

Significantly, for a major oil producer, heavily subsidised petrol prices are due to rise next month, hitting poorer people hardest in a country with poor or non-existent public transport.

"They are playing with fire. Nobody wants to take responsibility for this. It's going to blow up in their faces," said Hussein Dirbaz, a resident of Narmak, the Tehran suburb where Mr Ahmadinejad was brought up.

In an unusual intervention, Grand Ayatollah Yusef Sa'anei, one of Iran's most respected Islamic scholars, has attacked Mr Ahmadinejad's government for failing to tackle social ills such as youth unemployment, drug addiction, and gender inequality.

In a rare interview with a western newspaper at his office in the holy city of Qom, Mr Sa'anei said: "The government should be at the service of the people. But it is putting too much pressure on the people.

"It bans newspapers, sends people to jail, segregates boys and the girls at the universities, makes noise about hijab."

A senior government official said the rising tide of criticism directed at Mr Ahmadinejad was unwarranted. "People say we don't care but that's not true. We've created more credit, more jobs.

"It's too soon to say [Ahmadinejad] has failed. It's too soon to say the reformists will win."

Observers claim that a power struggle is inevitable.

"A very big battle is coming. It's unavoidable," a western diplomat said. "There's a widening gulf between the two sides. There are profound divisions about which way Iran should go. It's going to get very rough."

The looming power struggle could decide whether Iran continues on a path of confrontation with the west or comes in from the cold, the diplomat said.

guardian


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