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PostPosted: 28 Nov 06, 21:11 
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Today started wet with rain between 5am and 8am totally 6mm.

Temperature rose to 12.4C from and overnight low around 11C. It's currently 8.7C and falling.

The Barometer is rising again and is now 1014mb from 1007mb.

Looking at the forecast charts it's an ongoing battle with the low pressure system. The deep low with move North toward Iceland allowing the pressure to rise and winds to die down and become more Westerly. But then you get the lower part of the system build again in the Atlantic ,move towards the UK then again move North towards Iceland. As it moves away high pressure takes over again.

Although the repetitive system is producing a lot of rain and for some of the time strong winds it does hold the temperatures up.
But as soon as the pressure rises and the cloud goes temperatures take a tumble.

So it looks like the unsettle weather is here to stay for a while.

To see what I'm trying to explain with the Low pressure system have a look and the MET office website at the Surface Pressure Charts. You have to click the numbers at the top to advance the time is 12 Hours segments to see their forecast charts.

It looks like I may have binned the CD with the animated UK Storm that on the satellite images looked like a small Hurricane with a clearly visible eye. Shame.

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PostPosted: 29 Nov 06, 17:06 
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Huge global changes predicted



The bad news is that global warming is set to make the world largely uninhabitable.

The good news is that Britain could become the most desirable place on Earth.

Assuming the bleak prophecy for the future of the planet is true, a leading climate change expert says the UK would be one of the few areas able to feed itself.

Professor James Lovelock was among the first to warn of the dangers of global warning.

According to The Times, Professor Lovelock believes the Earth will be able to support only 500 million people, a sixth of the current population.
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His scenario sees people moving north to get away from increasingly hot regions such as central Europe.

But, he tells the paper, Britain - as a small island - will remain cool enough to sustain a modern nation.

"The summer of 2003 will be typical of conditions in 2100," he said.

"The British Isles may be a very desirable bit of real estate because we are surrounded by the sea."

His Gaia theory suggests the world will pull through - but it will take 200,000 years.

"We are not all doomed. An awful lot of people will die but I don't see the species dying out."
Sky


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PostPosted: 29 Nov 06, 21:01 
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There are some interesting documentries on different aspects of the global climate that are worth watching.
Horizon did one on Global Dimming where they showed the polution was blocking the sunlight and they showed a dramitic temperature change in the US in the days following 911 when no aircraft flew. By dramatic I mean a 2 - 3 C change as the atmosphere cleared without the polution from the planes.

There's another from Horizon concerning the Atlantic Current and the effect all the melting ice is having as it diloutes the salt in the water. It appears that as the salt level falls then this current ,which acts as a radiator for the Northern Hemisphere ,slows. And they then show from ice core samples that as the level drops below a certain level the planet falls into an ice age and that this has happened at least 5 times before. Remember that film "The Day after Tomorrow" ? This is based on this theory. I don't know what the real time scale would be but the basic facts used in the film appear true.

There's a BBC DVD call "Weather" that explains how the band where droughts form moves and what effects how it behaves. Again a very interesting episode in the series.

Nobody really know what will happen. The planet can to a certain level self-regulate but there will come a point where man will go beyond a limit where it can't repair itself.

Based on what I've seen it looks like it warms up the ice melts ,an ice-age arrives for a few hundred years cooling the place down again or at least that's what's happened in the past.

The hole in the UK being able to servive is the rise in sea water will flood large parts of the Eastern and Southern counties. In the same way a Mega Tsunami would though a lot more gradually.

As the deep lows in the the Atlantic are getting more developed and not dying before reaching the UK ,it makes me wonder about the temperature of the Atlanic. Remember the American Hurricanes need warm water as fuel. The current system appears to be boxed in by High Pressure but I'm not sure if that holds true with weather systems.

As I said nobody knows what will happen but there are lot of thories and at present we can just draw our own conclusions based on what we are fed and hope those in the know can do something before we reach that point of no return.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 02 Dec 06, 21:36 
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Storms To Batter Britain
Updated: 18:29, Saturday December 02, 2006

Severe gales and heavy rain will continue to sweep across the country with winds reaching up to 80mph, weather forecasters have warned.

All of the UK will be affected with the worst of the weather expected on the south coast of England and the west of Scotland.

The Met Office issued a weather warning and said between 25 and 50mm of rain could fall over the next few days, with totals of 75mm possible.

This in addition to the rain that has fallen over the past week could result in some localised flooding.

Nikki Berry, forecaster for MeteoGroup said: "Everywhere is going to be wet and windy.

"It looks like the southern and Welsh coast is going to get the worst gusts and in southwest Scotland.

"The weather is moving eastwards and southern coasts of Dorset and Hampshire could get some particularly strong gusts and heavy rain.

"The heavy rain is then arriving in the west of Scotland and is working its way across Scotland and then working its way eastwards across England and Wales."

The Scottish Environment Protection Agency is also urging people across Scotland to be prepared for the possibility of flooding.
More on This Story: Sky


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 02 Dec 06, 22:12 
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This is still the same weather system that I've been monitoring for some time.

The area that the system is in is from about mid-Atlantic across to Scotland ,up to Iceland then heading back to the West nr Greenland.

What's happening is that you get a deep area of low pressure to the West this is then tracking East towards the UK. It get to around 100 miles then tracks North. It then sits around Iceland for some time where it weakens then it appears to start again in the Mid-Atlantic. The whole system is bordered by High Pressure which might be preventing it from breaking up.

Just noted another Low around 970mb off the US East Coast forcast by Tuesday Midday so going by the present routine it'll be here for next weekend.

If I remember correctly one reason why they Lows don't normally have much strength by the time they reach the UK is that the Atlanic is colder this side. This why old Hurricanes don't give much trouble normally when they do manage the crossing.

Anybody know where to start looking for data on the temperature of the Atlantic to see if it is warmer than normal for this time of the year ?

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PostPosted: 02 Dec 06, 23:18 
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In my post about climate change I mentioned the atlantic current . HERE is a link from the BBC on the same subject.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 03 Dec 06, 1:40 
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Needless to say it's still raining in Glasgow.


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PostPosted: 03 Dec 06, 1:53 
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We've had quite good wether in Beds for a couple of weeks so have been able to walk the mile to school and enjoy it.

I have heard a rumour though that we are forecasted snow for christmas.

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PostPosted: 03 Dec 06, 12:38 
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Woke around 6am to the sound of gales and and what on camera looked like a downpour. You could hear the rain lashing against the window.

From Yesterdays barometer of over 1010mb it took a dive to 987mb.

Rain is shown as 3am then between 5am and 8am with the peak around 7am. 7mm was recorded though it looked like a lot more was falling.

The wind is still gusting strong and is comming from SSW.

Temperature had a low of 8C and a high of 11C ,currently it's 9.6C.

Yes it's been very warm for the time of year in fact it's been the warmest October I think in the 1700s but not everybody is getting it nice ,Canada set a new record for daily snow fall
Quote:
A "new one-day snowfall" record in Canada has caused problems in the province of British Columbia, the Peace Arch News reports.

Around 450 millimetres (18 inches) of snow fell in some parts on November 27th, despite claims that winters were getter milder.

Quote:
Warmest autumn on record - confirmed

1 December 2006

The Met Office confirms that the autumn 2006 has been the warmest in the last 347 years across central parts of the UK.

Central England Temperature records dating back to 1659 are the longest instrumental temperature records in the world, and autumn 2006 has been warmer than any equivalent autumn since then. The provisional mean temperature this year was 12.6 °C. The previous highest figure for the equivalent period was 11.8 °C, recorded in 1730 and 1731.

The provisional UK-wide mean temperature for autumn was 11.3 °C, beating the previous record set in 2001 of 10.5 °C, in a temperature series that began in 1914.
Details of the UK figures

2006 mean autumn temperature

Previous record

Year of previous record
UK
11.3

10.5

2001
England
12.4

11.3

2005
Northern Ireland
10.8

10.7

2001
Scotland
9.8

9.2

2001
Wales
11.4

10.9

1959

The current Met Office winter forecast indicates a continuation of the mild theme, with a higher probability of above average temperatures during the combined December, January and February period.

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PostPosted: 04 Dec 06, 14:40 
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4 December 2006
BLOWN AWAY
100mph winds cause mayhem.. and there's worse to come


HURRICANE winds of 100mph left a trail of wreckage across Britain yesterday - and weathermen warned we will be hammered again today.

Trees toppled, roads and bridges were closed, roofs were ripped off and power lines torn down. One man was swept into the sea and drowned.

Met Office spokesman Nick Ricketts said: "The power of the wind is exceptionally strong and the country has had a rough time of it. More gale force winds are on their way."

Severe weather warnings were last night issued for nearly all of the UK.

Cornwall and Devon were blasted by the strongest winds in 18 years - clocking in at an astonishing 107mph in Torpoint. Coastguards reported scores of wrecked boats - including 23 in a Plymouth harbour. Witness Joanne Brown said: "They were picked up and thrown by the wind."

A man of 35 was rescued by coastguards after being swept out to sea as he joined wave dodgers at Porthleven harbour, West Cornwall. In the West Midlands, 12,000 homes lost electricity as trees fell on power lines. In Kent, Dover Port and the QEII bridge at Dartford were shut for safety reasons.

Motorists across the country were stuck in long delays as roads were shut due to mud slides and fallen debris. Torrential rain caused widespread flooding - with Surrey and Sussex among the hardest hit.

In Northern Ireland, Paul Bogues, 47, was drowned in Ardglass after he was swept into the sea from the harbour wall. His son Conor, 26, drowned a year ago in a fishing boat. mirror


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PostPosted: 04 Dec 06, 22:33 
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It's been bloody horrible here today, not stopped bloody raining!

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 07 Dec 06, 20:29 
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Six hurt as tornado hits London




In pictures: London tornado
'It was like The Wizard of Oz'
Six people were injured and up to 150 houses were damaged when a tornado swept through several London streets leaving a trail of destruction.

Rooftops were ripped off and cars were badly damaged as the twister hit the Kensal Rise area of north-west London.

One man suffered a serious head injury and five have been treated for minor injuries and shock.

Fire services have sealed six roads in a zone covering a quarter of a square mile and searched 100 properties.

Fire crews were called at about 1100 GMT on Thursday to Chamberlayne Road and surrounding streets, amid reports of collapsed scaffolding and damage to buildings.

Witnesses said there was heavy rain and sleet, then debris flying through the air.

Resident Colin Brewer said: "It was really, really incredible. All of a sudden I saw a swirl starting to form and then, it was amazing, but it then touched land.


Scene of tornado

One user's picture diary

"I then saw clumps of all sorts of things flying into air.

"It went from exciting to terrifying."

He reported seeing trees ripped up from the roots, front doors missing, windows smashed and people being hit on the head by flying objects.

The UK experiences an estimated 50 tornadoes on land each year, putting it top of the European twister league.

The BBC Weather Centre said the tornado lasted less than minute.

"To see a tornado is not that unusual - but the magnitude of the damage due to the one in north-west London is," said BBC meteorologist Susan Powell.

She said the tornado formed due to a lot of energy in the air across the UK, producing widespread heavy thunderstorms with gusty winds.

Map of Kensal Rise

"However, in the case of the shower in London, the massive up and down draughts came into phase, spiralling and forming a tornado," she said.

Local resident Daniel Bidgood: "I was in my living room and I heard a big crack of lightning and thunder, then as I went to the window I heard a sound which was like standing behind a jetliner.

"I could see a huge cloud rolling up the street, making this tremendous sound.

"I went to try to take a picture of it but a shower of debris smashed all the windows of my house."

London Ambulance Service said a man, thought to be in his 50s, was treated for a head injury and is expected to be released from hospital later on Thursday. Five others were treated for shock and minor injuries at the scene.

Insurance cost

Dave Bonner, of the London Fire Brigade, said about 50 fire fighters have searched over 100 properties and found several people injured.

Residents will not be allowed to return to their homes until the area is deemed safe.

Brent Council has set up a respite centre at the nearby Legion Hall on Albert Road for residents who have been made temporarily homeless.

"The council has sent officers, including tree and building experts, and contractors, to help with removing fallen trees and damaged properties," said a council statement.

Insurance experts said it was too early to estimate the cost of the damage, but the 2005 Birmingham tornado ran into tens of millions of pounds. BBC


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 07 Dec 06, 23:23 
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News report from the Telegraph and ITN video report Here

Still trying to find footage of the Tornado but as I've said else where I think people were taken too much by suprise to record it.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 08 Dec 06, 2:24 
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Still raining in Glasgow.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: 08 Dec 06, 10:12 
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I thought Old Nick had found out where I lived and was coming to get me yesterday,:eek: What a downpour! And we never got a warning about it either:

Tornado Destroyed Homes


More than 20 homes remain off limits today after a tornado brought devastation to a residential area of north London.

Local authorities in Kensal Green are preparing to assess the damage caused by yesterday's storm.

Six people were hurt and 150 homes were damaged when the freak weather hit the area.

It is feared the weakened chimneys of many of the properties could now be a serious safety hazard.

Authorites have confirmed that 24 houses are now uninhabitable, while other residents are only being allowed back into their homes to collect belongings.
Tornado struck in seconds


Local people are being looked after in a local hall and are being asked to call 020 8937 5255 for the latest information.

One man has been released from hospital after treatment for a minor head injury, while five people were treated at the scene for minor injuries and shock.

Insurers estimate that the damage will run into millions of pounds.

Reports of the tornado came in from Chamberlayne Road in Kensal Rise at 11am, and 25 fire engines were sent to the scene.

Dawn Butler, Labour MP for Brent South, told Sky News: "We have to try and make sure that those people who are put out and not able to get their belongings that it does not have a detrimental effect upon their Christmas."

sky


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