There're three main groups:
Group A (Have the strongest Fan-Based, and equally have the most number of haters)
Makosi
Derek
Group B (Moderate Fan-Based, and not so many haters)
Science
Eugene
Group C (Weakest Fan-Based, and moderate haters)
Orla
Vanessa
In this circumstances, HATE FACTOR wouldn't be the crucial factor to determine who will be facing the eviction (bottom two). HATE FACTOR can't work to save your favourite (the tactic successfully used by Science's fans against Maxwell) because this time it's not a 'head-to-head' clash. Tactical voting among fans that will determine who will be evicted.
Makosi's & Derek's fans will definitely vote for either Vanessa or Orla (the weakest contender). Although these two housemates have many haters (who most probably vote against them), both of them have enough fans to neutralise the "hate votes" by tactically chanelling all their votes to Orla and Vanessa. They won't waste the votes against stronger contender like Science and Eugene.
Vanessa's & Orla's fans will be most likely voting for Science and Eugene or (among themselves: Orla's for Vanessa, Vanessa's for Orla). The fans of these two housemates do realise that they would be simply outnumbered by Makosi's & Derek's fans. So, there's no use to waste their votes on Makosi or Derek. They would carefully try to maximise the impact of their 'small votes' by voting the weaker housemates.
Science's & Eugene's fans could vote either way. If they are confident that they have enough number to add up to the votes from Makosi's & Derek's haters: then they will vote for Makosi and Derek. But if they think they couldn't possibly outnumber Makosi's and Derek's fans: then, they will vote for the weakest ones (i.e. Orla and Vanessa). At least, this could guarantee that they wouldn't be in the bottom two. If Science's & Eugene's fans put their votes on Derek and Makosi; then it will be wasted if they fail to outnumber Derek's & Makosi fans. It will end up with the votes are so close for all of them and anybody could be in the bottom two!
If I were Science's and Eugene's fans: I would vote Vanessa or Orla, instead of Derek or Makosi. That's the safest option, and avoiding the risk of having all the votes EQUALLY distributed - and nobody is safe!
