Civil War Warning For Bush
February 02, 2007
A US intelligence report has described the violence in Iraq as a civil war and warned the "perilous" situation there could deteriorate.
The National Intelligence Estimate Report, representing 16 spy agencies, says the term 'civil war' accurately describes key elements of the conflict.
Sky News' Keith Graves said such references to civil war will be an awkward development for the president - and Tony Blair - who have so far avoided using that description.
Officials have indicated that the conclusions paint a sober view of the violence and political situation facing the United States in Iraq.
The assessment is said to conclude that success depends on improving poor security as sectarian violence is increasing, hurting the government and slowing reconstruction.
The report says the term 'civil war' does not "adequately capture the complexity of the conflict in Iraq".
Nonetheless, it adds, "civil war accurately describes key elements of the Iraqi conflict, including the hardening of ethno-sectarian identities, a sea change in the character of the violence, ethno-sectarian mobilisation, and population displacements."
Mr Bush, in a policy reversal, announced on January 10 that he was sending an additional 21,500 troops to Iraq.
The report is said to conclude: "Unless efforts to reverse these conditions show measurable progress ... we assess that the overall security situation will continue to deteriorate."
According to Graves, the report said that al Qaeda activities remained a problem but cites Iraqi-on-Iraqi violence as the primary source of conflict and the most immediate threat to US goals.
The report addressed security threats in Iraq posed by both Iran and Syria.
The general conclusion was that the biggest security problem is of a sectarian nature but that outside Iranian involvement makes the situation worse.
Similarly, it said that Syria's failure to control its borders had allowed foreigners to enter Iraq.
Skynews 